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Going forward, I'll give a (mostly) daily update on weather conditions across the nation.
7:45 AM
I can also give them by request on any days (such as weekends and many holidays) that I do not provide them. (edited)
🌫️ 2
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  • Dry and warm conditions for interior Alaska maintain fire weather concerns
  • Flash flood threat will increase into the Southwest and Southern Rockies
  • Tropical disturbance off the Texas coast will increase chances for some heavy rainfall
  • Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Midwest and Western Great Lakes
  • Flood Warning: AK, IA, IL, MN, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: AK
7:13 AM
DISTURBANCE 1: Location: The system is moving westward in the Gulf of Mexico Maximum Sustained Winds: N/A Movement & Speed: North Outlook: Disturbance 1: 0% chance of Cyclone formation Watches & Warnings: None Hazards Assessment: Heavy rainfall possible along portions of the Texas coast Projected Landfall: Possible landfall on the coast of Texas next 24 hrs POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE 2: Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 Knots: 40mph Movement & Speed: West at 17 knots Outlook: 90% chance of Cyclone formation Watches & Warnings: None DISTURBANCE 2: Maximum Sustained Winds: N/A Movement & Speed: N/A Outlook: 10% Chance of Cyclone formation Watches & Warnings: None
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Hello my fellow meteorology and tropical weather nerds.
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Braakinthesaddle 7/1/2022 12:42 PM
I'm more of a tornado guy myself. Okie by birth lol
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Braakinthesaddle
I'm more of a tornado guy myself. Okie by birth lol
NordicThor_ 7/1/2022 1:02 PM
Same!
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Braakinthesaddle
I'm more of a tornado guy myself. Okie by birth lol
8:23 PM
Got plenty of them
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Braakinthesaddle 7/1/2022 8:24 PM
Oh damn, where was this
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Deep east texas
8:25 PM
Rusk county
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Braakinthesaddle 7/1/2022 8:26 PM
My grandparents lived in Tyler for a long time, so that's my primary point of reference for East TX
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Pretty close, just an hour south and closer to Louisiana
8:27 PM
Just add banjo's
8:27 PM
Favorite radar apps?
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Braakinthesaddle 7/1/2022 8:34 PM
I typically just stick with Weatherbug, just bc AZ doesn't really ever get major storms outside of the occasional monsoon this time of year.
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Fourth of July Could Bring Severe Thunderstorms to Chicago Area (NBC Chicago) Illinois: The Fourth of July could see a different kind of fireworks in the skies over the Chicago area, as most of northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin will celebrate the holiday with the threat of severe weather in the forecast. According to the Storm Prediction Center, all Illinois counties that are in the NBC 5 viewing area, including McHenry, Lake, DeKalb, Kane, DuPage, Cook, LaSalle, Kendall, Grundy, Will and Kankakee, are at a “slight risk” of severe weather on Monday. A “slight risk” equals approximately a 40% chance of severe storms developing, per the NWS’ system. Lake County in Indiana is also under the “slight risk” categorization. Porter, LaPorte, Newton and Jasper counties are at a “marginal risk” of severe storms, a step below that classification. The main potential threats with the storms could include damaging hail, with most of northern Illinois at approximately a 15% chance of hail at least one inch in diameter or more, and possible tornadoes, with isolated twisters possible with the weather system as it moves through the region. As for the time of arrival, it appears that the main threat of storms won’t arrive until the early-to-mid afternoon hours, starting out in the western suburbs and slowly filtering their way through the rest of the Chicago area in the mid-to-late afternoon. Source: https://www.nbcchicago.com/weather/fourth-of-july-could-bring-severe-thunderstorms-to-chicago-area/2872507 Isolated storms Sunday, severe weather possible Monday (Fox 9) Minnesota: Heat and humidity are on the rise as we head into the remainder of our holiday weekend. We are also ushering in the chance for some isolated strong to severe storms in the next couple of days. Rain and storms began moving into Western Minnesota early Sunday morning. As the day moves on, this system will push the precipitation to the east, and storms are expected to weaken throughout the day. There is a Level 2 risk for severe weather for Western Minnesota, and a Level 1 Risk for much of Central Minnesota. These isolated rumbles are expected to reach the metro around the lunchtime hours and taper off later this afternoon. Fortunately, it looks like fireworks shows will be a go tonight. Our chance for some severe weather returns early Monday morning, with storm chances highest and more widespread in the morning to mid-afternoon. Again, things are expected to clear up as we head into the afternoon on Monday. Source: https://www.fox9.com/weather/minnesota-weather-isolated-storms-sunday-severe-weather-possible-monday A steamy Fourth of July; thunderstorm chances highest in the morning (MPR News) Minnesota/Wisconsin:We have an update on thunderstorm chances this holiday weekend. Here are the highlights. Areas of showers and thunderstorms are possible Sunday evening from southwestern and west-central Minnesota through northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin. There could be an isolated shower or thunderstorm elsewhere in Minnesota and western Wisconsin Sunday evening. A more organized batch of showers and thunderstorms is expected to spread across much of Minnesota and western Wisconsin in the overnight hours of Sunday night and through Monday morning. Some spots could see heavy rainfall. A few scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Monday afternoon and evening. Source: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2022/07/03/a-steamy-fourth-of-july-thunderstorm-chances-highest-in-the-morning
The Fourth of July could see a different kind of fireworks in the skies over the Chicago area, as most of northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin will celebrate the holiday with the threat of severe weather in the forecast.
Heat and humidity are on the rise as we head into the remainder of our holiday weekend. We are also ushering in the chance for some isolated strong to severe storms in the next couple of days.
It’ll be a warm Fourth of July, with steamy dew points. We have the updated forecast details, including thunderstorm chances.
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birb
Favorite radar apps?
I use my radar on my phone
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  • Cold front impacts Northwestern U.S.
  • Warming trend across the Great Plains and Midwest
  • Critical fire weather conditions to persist across the Great Basin
  • Excessive rainfall and severe thunderstorms possible across Northerntier
  • Continued precipitation for the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern seaboard as large weather system continues to move west
  • Flood Warning: MT, SD,
  • Red Flag Warning: AK, AZ, NV, UT
  • Heat Warning: AR, IA, IL, KS, MS, MO, NE, OK, TN
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radar scope is life
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  • Milder temperatures continue in the Northwest with rain showers along coastal areas
  • Excessive heat across the Southern Central Plains
  • Showers, thunderstorms and heavy rain from the Northern High Plains to the East Coast
  • Fire weather persists across Western portion of the Great Basin with lower-than-normal humidity
    • Flood Warning: GA, TX, WA
  • Red Flag Warning: AK, AZ, NV
  • Heat Warning: AL, AR, IA, IL, IN, KS, MS, MO, NE, OH, OK, SD, TN, WI
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Is it me or has the Altantic been silent this early hurricane season?
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birb
Is it me or has the Altantic been silent this early hurricane season?
There was a lot of rain in early January to April, that usually stops anything weather crazy from happening
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From the Atlantic Ocean?
9:08 PM
Usually weather in Africa dictates what happens in the Atlantic this time of year
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Yep, it's something I learned from my classes, heavy rains in FL or the Caribbean to Africa as well too, usually indicate how things would go (edited)
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Aside the high pressure systems that have been sitting in the Caribbean
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birb
Is it me or has the Altantic been silent this early hurricane season?
The first hurricane, only hit nicaragua and expected to fizzle. Hurricane BONNIE: CAT 1 hurricane continues on a Northwestern track into the Pacific Maximum Sustained Winds: 90 Knots: 105 mph Movement & Speed: West at 15 knots 17mph Outlook: Maintaining strength as system moves out into the Pacific Watches & Warnings: Decreasing possibility of landfall on the Hawaiian Islands in the next seven to eight days.Current forecast projects hurricane to dissipate before reaching islands.
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Nomad
The first hurricane, only hit nicaragua and expected to fizzle. Hurricane BONNIE: CAT 1 hurricane continues on a Northwestern track into the Pacific Maximum Sustained Winds: 90 Knots: 105 mph Movement & Speed: West at 15 knots 17mph Outlook: Maintaining strength as system moves out into the Pacific Watches & Warnings: Decreasing possibility of landfall on the Hawaiian Islands in the next seven to eight days.Current forecast projects hurricane to dissipate before reaching islands.
This is Pacific
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Yeah, it is now
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I mean, the only big event was from Invest 95L that caused tropical storms in the Texas Gulf
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Nomad
DISTURBANCE 1: Location: The system is moving westward in the Gulf of Mexico Maximum Sustained Winds: N/A Movement & Speed: North Outlook: Disturbance 1: 0% chance of Cyclone formation Watches & Warnings: None Hazards Assessment: Heavy rainfall possible along portions of the Texas coast Projected Landfall: Possible landfall on the coast of Texas next 24 hrs POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE 2: Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 Knots: 40mph Movement & Speed: West at 17 knots Outlook: 90% chance of Cyclone formation Watches & Warnings: None DISTURBANCE 2: Maximum Sustained Winds: N/A Movement & Speed: N/A Outlook: 10% Chance of Cyclone formation Watches & Warnings: None
Heres from the 1st
9:16 PM
Not a bad season at all
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I don't think that is even considered an Invest yet, just a potential disturbance.
9:18 PM
We are still a tad early in the season though
9:18 PM
@Nomad You live close to the ocean?
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Nope! Wisconsin
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Lucky you
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I've been clear of any oceans for over a decade lol
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I live above Houston on the LA border
9:20 PM
Im not about this tropical weather life
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Haha, I've lived in VA, NC, GA, and FL. I was in FL during Katrina, what a ride
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Oh lawd
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TheAnonymousDew 7/6/2022 8:34 PM
Try living in FL during Wilma. I got the eye to the face
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Plz tell me you experience the eye wall?
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  • Dangerous heat wave continues across the U.S. with hazy, hot, and humid conditions
  • Excessive heat warnings and heat advisories from theCentral and Southern Plains to the Southeast
  • Thunderstorms and heavy rain are expected in multiple spots -Montana, parts of the Midwest, Ohio, Tennessee Valleys, and the Carolinas
  • Flood Warning: MT, OH, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: AK
  • Heat Warning: AL, AR, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX
7:35 AM
La Nina Conditions Likely to Persist
  • La Nina events increase risk of drought, wildfire activities, severe storms, and hurricane activity
  • Apr 2022, La Nina intensified over the equatorial Pacific Ocean; not seen since 1950s
  • 60% chance of La Nina continuing thruSeptember; increasing hurricane activity
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Nomad
La Nina Conditions Likely to Persist
  • La Nina events increase risk of drought, wildfire activities, severe storms, and hurricane activity
  • Apr 2022, La Nina intensified over the equatorial Pacific Ocean; not seen since 1950s
  • 60% chance of La Nina continuing thruSeptember; increasing hurricane activity
Fak
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Haha wait till you see the other stuff i report on: U.S. Winter Wheat Crop Predicted To Diminish
  • The U.S. is at the lowest level of spring wheat planting since 1986
  • The USDA predicts Hard Red Winter Wheat output to decrease by 21% compared to 2021
  • Drought in Midwest/West; abnormal cold/wet conditions in the Northern Plains are primary drivers
7:46 AM
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  • Heat wave continues across much of the Southern U.S, heat warnings and heat advisories remain in effect
  • Possible thunderstorms, excessive rainfall, damaging winds, and large hail, across Montana, Ohio/Tennessee Valleys, and the Carolinas may lead to flash flooding
  • Flood Warning: KS, MO, MT, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: AK, AZ, UT
  • Heat Warning: AL, AR, FL, IL, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, OK, TN, TX
PES3_SadSit 1
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Nomad
  • Heat wave continues across much of the Southern U.S, heat warnings and heat advisories remain in effect
  • Possible thunderstorms, excessive rainfall, damaging winds, and large hail, across Montana, Ohio/Tennessee Valleys, and the Carolinas may lead to flash flooding
  • Flood Warning: KS, MO, MT, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: AK, AZ, UT
  • Heat Warning: AL, AR, FL, IL, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, OK, TN, TX
Braakinthesaddle 7/8/2022 3:40 PM
Wx report: Heat wave continues... Me, in Arizona: ...and?
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Reminds me of the scene in gladiator: we who are about to die salute you
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dude it's like 98 here in TN
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curcale
dude it's like 98 here in TN
Braakinthesaddle 7/9/2022 3:39 AM
Y'all have it worse there when it gets hot than we do in AZ bc of the damn humidity. The whole "it's a dry heat" trope is 💯 % real, and I didn't realize it til I moved here in 2015.
3:40 AM
I'd rather have 110° with a 7% humidity than 95° with even a 40% humidity.
thistbh 2
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I'll be in NM soon, so im interested in getting that "dry heat" perspective
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Braakinthesaddle 7/9/2022 12:03 PM
Depending on where in NM you go, it can be beautiful or miserable lol. East of Albuquerque is flat as a table top all the was to Arkansas, from Albuquerque west there are lots of really great views. Made that drive several tines.
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I'll be in santa fe for two weeks
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curcale
I'll be in santa fe for two weeks
Braakinthesaddle 7/9/2022 10:00 PM
Spent a month up there during my time in the Army for a training course. Hope you like high altitudes. Santa Fe is like, 7000 ft up.
10:00 PM
It is beautiful tho
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curcale
I'll be in santa fe for two weeks
I love Santa Fe. Heat won't be too bad because elevation. Try and visit Albuquerque while you're there!
9:33 AM
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Im flying from Nashville to dallas, then from Dallas to Albuquerque. From Albuquerque im getting a rental car to drive to santa fe
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curcale
Im flying from Nashville to dallas, then from Dallas to Albuquerque. From Albuquerque im getting a rental car to drive to santa fe
Bring a sweater or wind breaker for nights
9:34 AM
New Mexico is my favorite state when it comes to nice weather.
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im rlly excited, i haven't seen to much the American southwest
11:03 PM
7215_thonk
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Shit said "nah, fuck being in GA"
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  • Increasing fire danger across the interior valleys of California and Southwest as heat wave impacts Southwestern U.S.
  • Severe thunderstorms expected to track across the northern tier states
  • Dangerous heat and humidity continue across the southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley.
  • Excessive rain and possible flash flooding due to ground saturation from the Gulf coast to the Southeast over the next several days. 30% chance of tropical cyclone development along LA, MS, AL coastline next 3-5 days.
    • Flood Warning: MN, NC, IL, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: AK
  • Heat Advisory: CA, LA, OR, TX
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  • Storm system brings needed precipitation to quell “Clear Fire” in Alaska.
  • Dangerous heat persists across the Great Basin and southern Plains.
  • Heavy rain over the southern Rockies and Southwest, as well as the Southeast and central Gulf Coast
  • Severe thunderstorms across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
  • Flood Warning: IL, NC, SD, WV
  • Red Flag Warning: OR
  • Heat Advisory: AR, ID, LA, MS, MT, OK, TX, UT
8:51 AM
Hurricane DARBY (CAT 2) Location: 1440 miles E of Hilo, Hawaii. Maximum Sustained Winds: 100MPH. Present Movement: W at16 MPH. Outlook: Additional weakening is expected, and the system is forecast to become a remnant low by late Friday Weather Hazards: No threat to U.S. interests at this time; expected to rapidly weaken before reaching Hawaii.
8:52 AM
For the hawaii cats
8:53 AM
Atlantic Disturbance #1 – Located just offshore of the Florida Panhandle. Heavy rains, possible risk of flash flooding along portions of the northern Gulf coast from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle over the next several days.
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Oh boy. Here we go
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Fuels and Fire Danger Outlook
  • Northwest and California is drying rapidly pushing fire danger to above normal potential boosting predictions of fire activity.
  • Great Basin, Northern Rockies & Rocky Mountain Region expect dry and breezy conditions in the Intermountain West, where fire danger for most sites is near normal for this time of the year as the region enters into the traditional peak season period. Early next week continued windy and warm conditions will be supportive of elevated fire weather concerns as fuels continue to dry. Fuels in the Northern Great Plains are curing (drying out) at lower elevations and could see an uptick in fire activity.
  • Desert Southwest will continue to have isolated to scattered thunderstorms likely across much of the Southwest and the Four Corners region. Conditions in the region are of concern as heat wave, with potential to develop into a slow-moving heat dome, may suppress monsoon weather and produce dry lightning and thunderstorms.
  • Southern U.S.Highfire potential continues in Texas spreading northward into western Oklahoma and Nebraska where live fuels are rapidly drying and coming available.
  • Alaska: Significant escalation of fire activity possible due to lightning and wind on very dry fuels. New ignitions and large fires could arise in South-Central Alaska, where resource demands would be higher than for remote fires in the Interior region. Expect long duration and continue growth for existing fires.
8:13 AM
  • Dangerously hot conditions expected across the GreatBasin and much of the Central U.S. through the end of the week
  • Monsoon activity expected to continue over the next few days in the Four Corners region
  • Showers and thunderstorms continue to produce heavy rain across Southeast and Central Gulf CoastStates through Friday
Flood Warning: CA, SD Red Flag Warning: NV, UT Heat Advisory: TX
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I guess New Mexico is mostly in the green since it already burned down.
9:14 AM
Two of largest wildfires in the state's recorded history happened over the last few months, one is still technically burning somewhere.
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Regnion
Two of largest wildfires in the state's recorded history happened over the last few months, one is still technically burning somewhere.
Did the Lincoln national forest get hit?
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birb
Did the Lincoln national forest get hit?
No, just a lightning strike burned a couple acres. They closed it for a month due to fire risks, it's open again.
9:27 AM
Actually I'm wrong, yes, there was a large fire there.
9:28 AM
6,159 acres, closer to the town of Ruidoso, burned structures.
9:28 AM
The 2022 New Mexico wildfire season is an ongoing series of wildfires burning throughout the U.S. state of New Mexico. As of 24 June 2022, 899,453 acres (363,996 ha) had burned across the state, including 31 fires greater than 100 acres. The acres-burned figure for 2022 is far above the 1995-2015 average of approximately 270,000 acres burned ann...
9:56 AM
-Republicans and Clinate Change deniers
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Regnion
I guess New Mexico is mostly in the green since it already burned down.
No fuel, no fire!
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Nomad
  • Dangerously hot conditions expected across the GreatBasin and much of the Central U.S. through the end of the week
  • Monsoon activity expected to continue over the next few days in the Four Corners region
  • Showers and thunderstorms continue to produce heavy rain across Southeast and Central Gulf CoastStates through Friday
Flood Warning: CA, SD Red Flag Warning: NV, UT Heat Advisory: TX
Braakinthesaddle 7/14/2022 11:40 AM
I love how all of AZ in that map has the potential for T-storms...except Phoenix lol
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11:51 AM
I love that forest
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The damage isn't much compared to most fires.
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Nomad
No fuel, no fire!
Unfortunately, only partly true. Plenty of dry charcoal left behind. There's a fire near Flagstaff, AZ, that is burning in the exact area it burned less than a year ago or so. (edited)
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What you are describing is fuel though lol
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  • Showers and thunderstorms in the next 24hrs may lead to isolated flash flooding in the Southwest and Central / Southern Rockies
  • Dangerously hot conditions in Southeast California for the next 48 hours
  • Excessive heat over the Central and Southern Plains
  • Flood Warning: CA, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: CA
  • Heat Advisory: KS, MO, NE, OK
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  • Dangerous heat across the Plains with possible high record temperatures from the North Central Plains to Texas
  • Severe thunderstorms across the Northern tier of the U.S. and in the Mid Atlantic over the next 48 hours
  • Locally heavy rain and possible flash flooding in the East and Four Corners region
Flood Warning: AZ Red Flag Warning: ID OR, WY Heat Advisory: AR, CO, LA, MT, NE, SD TX, WY
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Got a lot of fire going on
7:30 PM
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Fire Information for Resource Management System
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The global heat waves should be a warning for the future (Washington Post) National: In Yosemite National Park’s famed Mariposa Grove, giant sequoias have grown for millennia. As some of the largest and oldest living things in the world, their preservation — which was first given legal protection under Abraham Lincoln — predates the National Park Service. This month, they were threatened by a nearby wildfire that was exacerbated by dry, hot conditions. That is just one of many dramatic weather events taking place around the country and world. In Texas, record-breaking temperatures forced the state’s power grid operator to warn residents to cut back on energy use or face the risk of blackouts. Around 35 million Americans were placed under heat advisories or excessive heat warnings. Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/16/global-heat-waves-climate-change-warning
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  • Monsoonal showers brings heavy rain and flash flooding across parts of the Southwest, Great Basin, and Southern Rockies
  • Fire weather conditions stretch from the Northern Rockies, Great Basin, and Central High Plains
  • Record breaking heat continues into mid week across the Central and Southern Plains
  • Severe thunderstorms possible across portions of the Northern Plain into the Upper Great Lakes
  • Flood Warning: IL, IN, SD, TN
  • Red Flag Warning: NE, OR, TX, WY
  • Heat Advisory: AR, AZ, KS, LA, MN, MO, MS, NE, NM, OK, TN, TX
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weather has been beautiful everyday here in santa fe
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• Monsoonal moisture to bring heavy rains and flash flooding across the Southwest, Great Basin and Southern Rockies. • Dangerous heat across the South-Central U.S., and into the Northeast. • Possible thunderstorms in the Ohio Valley and New England.
  • Flood Warning: AK, IL, SD
  • Red Flag Warning: OR, TX
  • Heat Advisory: AL, AR, AZ, CA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MA, ME, MN, MO, MS, NJ, NM, NV, NY, OH, OK, TN, TX, UT, VT
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  • Monsoonal moisture continues to bring heavy rains and isolated flash flooding across the Southwest Great Basin and Southern Rockies
  • Dangerous heat impacting much of the Central and Northeastern United States
  • Severe thunderstorms across the Ohio Valley shifting into New England and parts of the Southeast
  • Fire Weather Watch: ID, MT, WY
  • Red Flag Warning: OR, TX, WY
  • Heat Advisory: AL, AR, AZ, CA, DC, IL, IN, KY, LA, MA, ME, MD, NC, NJ, NV, NY, OK, PA, TN, TX, UT, VA
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Braakinthesaddle 7/21/2022 3:56 PM
Would love to get some of that monsoonal moisture in Phx today and tomorrow. Makes working in a shipping warehouse slightly more bearable lol
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Braakinthesaddle
Would love to get some of that monsoonal moisture in Phx today and tomorrow. Makes working in a shipping warehouse slightly more bearable lol
Everything you type I read in Braak's voice and I love it
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7:21 PM
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Look at that big red bloom over Arkansas lol @birb
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Are you making a yo mama joke?
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Hmm, i want to now
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  • Dangerous heat continues in the Southwestern, South-Central, and Eastern U.S into the weekend
  • Severe thunderstorms possible across the Plains and interior Northeast today
  • Monsoonal moisture to bring locally heavy rains and isolated flash flooding across portions of the Southwest into the Southern Rockies
    • Fire Weather Watch: CA, IA, MT, NE, NV, WY
  • Red Flag Warning: AZ, CA, ID, MT, NV, UT WY
  • Heat Advisory: AR, CA, CO, DE, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MO, MS, NE, NJ, NV, NY, OK, PA, TN, TX, UT
7:14 AM
Dangerously high temperatures will last through the weekend with millions of Americans set to experience triple-digit heat (CNN) National: More than 85% of Americans are bracing for temperatures above 90 degrees Fahrenheit through the weekend, with millions in the south-central US expected to experience readings in the triple digits. More than 100 million people are under various heat alerts Thursday in more than two dozen states from parts of the American West to New England, a suffocating cocoon that experts believe will become increasingly common due to the effects of climate change. "Widespread high temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s and low 100s will encompass a majority of the country on Thursday and Friday," the National Weather Service warned Wednesday. The areas at the highest risk for the dangerously hot temperatures span the Southwest, central and south-central US along with the coastal mid-Atlantic region and the Northeast, the weather service noted. Dallas County, Texas, reported its first heat-related death of the year -- a 66-year-old woman -- according to a Thursday news release from Dallas County Health and Human Services. The agency is not identifying the woman, but did say she had underlying health conditions. The distressing heat wave -- which has exacerbated a flash drought in the southern and central Plains -- has pushed state and local leaders to issue heat emergencies and offer resources to residents to mitigate the high temperatures.   Source: https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/21/weather/us-extreme-heat-thursday/index.html
More than 85% of Americans are bracing for temperatures above 90 degrees Fahrenheit through the weekend, with millions in the south-central US expected to experience readings in the triple digits.
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dilltheacrid 7/22/2022 9:54 AM
Ooh my type of channel. I’ve got some skills in meteorology. Anything I can do to help?
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Whatever you want lol I just do this because its handy information for events, and i have to do it anyways for work
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dilltheacrid
Ooh my type of channel. I’ve got some skills in meteorology. Anything I can do to help?
Braakinthesaddle 7/22/2022 3:46 PM
I'm here bc I'm a weather nerd. Grew up in Oklahoma, so learned a lot just by living in tornado alley. Out of curiosity, What kind of meteorology skills? Forecasting, stormchasing?
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dilltheacrid
Ooh my type of channel. I’ve got some skills in meteorology. Anything I can do to help?
Hi fellow meteorology nerd
4:29 PM
@boopah is a meteorology nerd, too.
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birb
@boopah is a meteorology nerd, too.
Hi
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Braakinthesaddle
I'm here bc I'm a weather nerd. Grew up in Oklahoma, so learned a lot just by living in tornado alley. Out of curiosity, What kind of meteorology skills? Forecasting, stormchasing?
Oklahoma gang!!! Seriously though I swear oklahoma natives who grew up on Travis Meyer deserve honorary meteorology degrees, coming from someone who had to take a bunch of meteorology coursework for their degree & uses it daily.
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I'm jelly
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November
Oklahoma gang!!! Seriously though I swear oklahoma natives who grew up on Travis Meyer deserve honorary meteorology degrees, coming from someone who had to take a bunch of meteorology coursework for their degree & uses it daily.
Braakinthesaddle 7/23/2022 2:59 PM
I grew up on Gary England and the movie Twister lol Initially thought I wanted to study meteorology formally at OU, but then found out that they take as many math classes as math majors.
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  • Intense heat in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic will continue to linger, and persistent heat in the South-Central U.S.
  • Dangerous heat wave to build across the Northwestern U.S. this week
  • Severe storms likely in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
  • Heavy to excessive rain may produce flooding in the Four Corners region and Ohio Valley this week
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, DE, ID, IN, KS, LA, MA, MO, MS, NJ, NY, OK, OR, PA, TN, VT, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ, CO, ID, KS, NY, OR, UT, WA
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Geez man the weather has been cray cray
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Braakinthesaddle 7/25/2022 2:11 PM
Tell me about it. These are October temps in July for Phoenix. It's also unbearably humid for the desert, like 50%. Not fun when it's supposed to be <10%.
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Meanwhile, its gonna be about 55 thursday night into Friday here.... odd
10:11 PM
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flash flood warnings here in santa fe
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Braakinthesaddle 7/27/2022 4:53 AM
Been a pretty active monsoon season in AZ, esp for Phx. Had some late night thunderstorms last night that caused flash flood warnings where I live, and had several microbursts pop up around the Phx metro this afternoon. Hoping it continues tomorrow, the cool down has been nice despite the increased humidity.
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“It did what it was supposed to”: Secondary dam breaches at Nashville, Ill. Reservoir (KFVS) Illinois: According to the Washington County, Illinois Emergency Management Agency (EMA), a second dam of the Nashville Reservoir failed on Tuesday, July 26 after excessive rainfall. EMA Director Matt Bierman said even though the secondary dam breached, “It did what it was supposed to”. Bierman explained the secondary dam helped to relieve the pressure off of the primary dam at the reservoir, which is holding steady. His office is continuing to monitor the water levels at the reservoir and the latest forecasts from the National Weather Service. The breach did flood approximately 40 acres, including State Route 15, which is closed from the East side of Nashville to Ashley. Bierman said the residents of two to three homes voluntarily left their property for drier ground. If a new situation or concern rises, Bierman said an alert will be sent out through the Washington County EMA. He is urging drivers throughout the county to be aware of flooded roads and not to drive through roads covered with water. Source: https://www.kfvs12.com/2022/07/26/it-did-what-it-was-supposed-secondary-dam-breaches-nashville-ill-reservoir
According to the the Washington County, Illinois Emergency Management Agency (EMA), a second dam of the Nashville Reservoir failed on Tuesday, July 26 after excessive rainfall.
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Holy shit
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  • Flash floods across the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians
  • Monsoonal moisture will cause excessive rainfall and flash flooding across portions of the Southwest and Southern/Central Rockies and High Plains
  • Dangerous heat across the Pacific Northwest and portions of the South Central U.S
    • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, ID, LA, MS, MT, NC, NV, OK, OR, TN, TX, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ, CO, IL, IN, MO, OR, SD, WA, WV
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  • Excessive rainfall and flash flooding across the Ohio Valley-Central Appalachians
  • Monsoonal moisture and excessive rainfall with flash flooding across portions of the Southwest and Southern-Central High Plains
  • Heat wave in the Pacific Northwest and the Southern Plains
    • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, CA, ID, LA, MS, MT, NC, NV, OK, OR, TN, TX, VA, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning:AZ, CO, IL, IN, KY, NV, SD, VA, WV
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  • Additional excessive rainfall across parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valley is expected to cause areas of flash flooding
    • Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding across portions of Arizona to the Four Corners region
  • Excessive heat continues in the Pacific Northwest while it maintains hot and humid across the southern tier to the East Coast
  • Cooler weather expected to move over the Central Plains
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, CA, ID, LA, MS, NC, NV, OK, OR, TN, TX, VA, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, NM, NV, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV
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dilltheacrid
Ooh my type of channel. I’ve got some skills in meteorology. Anything I can do to help?
Skullmaggot 8/1/2022 3:11 AM
Call down lightning on our foes.
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Chance of storms Monday (WISH) Indiana: After a spectacular weekend, central Indiana turns hot and humid next week with a few storm chances to watch. Mostly cloudy skies to start off Monday morning with a few stray showers or isolated storms. Some clearing may occur which will lead to scattered showers and storms along a cold front mainly in the afternoon. Southeastern Indiana will be the area to watch for these storms developing and that is why they are under a slight (2/5) chance of severe weather. Damaging wind will be the primary storm threat. High temperatures will be around 90 degrees with humid conditions. Source: https://www.wishtv.com/weather/weather-blog/chance-of-storms-monday
INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — After a spectacular weekend, central Indiana turns […]
6:29 AM
Storm threats and Timeline for Monday’s Weather Alert Day (WCPO) Ohio: Monday is a 9 First Warning Weather Alert Day due to the potential for strong and severe storms across the Tri-State. Our confidence that these storms will pose a threat at becoming severe as they progress into the Ohio River Valley has increased, which is why we have declared Monday a Weather Alert Day. A warm front will pass through the Tri-State from the southwest during the morning hours Monday. This will usher in a hot and moist air mass which will prime us for the chance at strong and severe storms during the afternoon and evening hours Monday. It currently looks as though storms will cluster into what we call a squall-line, possibly even a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS), which is a larger scale storm cluster. The Storm Prediction Center includes the entire Tri-State in their “Slight Risk” (Level 2 of 5) for severe weather Monday afternoon and evening. Source: https://www.wcpo.com/weather/weather-101/storm-threats-and-timeline-for-mondays-weather-alert-day STORM IMPACTS/HAZARDS: The primary concern with storms will be damaging straight-line wind gusts of 60 to 65 mph, but with the amount of energy and moisture we will have in these storms, I would not be surprised if we see some gusts reach near 70 mph. With winds that strong, power outages will be a concern along with downed trees. In addition to the strong winds in these storms, heavy rainfall will be likely as well. These storms could potentially start to “train” over our area, which means our threat for flooding would drastically increase, especially in low-lying and poor drainage areas are possible. TIMELINE: The window for storms could open up as as early as 2 p.m. to 3 p.m. for areas of southeast Indiana as well as Butler and Warren counties. However, the main severe threat looks more confined to move in between 5 p.m. and 11 p.m. at this point. Storms will move in from the north northwest and have more of a southeasterly movement to them. This may lead to prolonged periods of heavy rain. Showers should come to an end by 2 a.m. in Northern Kentucky as a cold front passes through, which will end the event.
Monday is a 9 First Warning Weather Alert Day due to the potential at strong and severe storms across the Tri-State. This looks to be strongest during the late afternoon & evening hours.
6:30 AM
Heat, Flooding, Severe Storms and Fire Weather To Start Off The Week (NWS/Weather Prediction Center) National: Dangerous heat and record high temperatures are expected on Monday from the Interior Northwest to the northern and central Plains. Flooding will be possible in a couple of spots, from the monsoon in the Southwest, Four Corners and Great Basin and in the eastern Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Severe storms are possible in the Ohio Valley and critical fire weather conditions are likely in Montana. Source: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdspd
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  • Dangerous heat and record-high temperatures from the Interior Northwest to the Northern and Central Plains
  • Flooding possible from the monsoon in the Southwest, Four Corners, Great Basin, Eastern Ohio, and Tennessee Valleys
  • Critical fire weather conditions are likely in Montana
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: CA, ID, MT, OR, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ, CA, NV, SD, TN
  • Red Flag Warning: CA, HI, ID, MT, OR, SD, WA, WY
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Anybody here been paying attention to the flooding in Kentucky?
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I've seen a little bit about it. Seems really destructive
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It is, homes completely gone, there's reports of multiple deaths
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Horrible.
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JohnBrosGhost 8/1/2022 11:36 AM
i posted resources and donation links in the #kentucky channel if you feel so inclined
👍 2
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  • Dangerous high heat and record temperatures over much of Central US
  • Monsoonal downpours and flash flood risks across Southwest, Four Corners, and Great Basin
  • Severe thunderstorms possible in parts of the Upper Midwest today and then pushing Eastward on Wednesday
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, IA, IL, KS, MN, MO, NE, OK, SD
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: IN, OH, SD, TN, VA, WV
  • Red Flag Warning: CA, MT, OR, WA
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  • Heavy rains over the Western U.S. expected to shift Eastward as thunderstorms ahead of a cold front could bring rain into the upper Midwest
  • Heat expected to spread across the North while remaining in place over the Northeast
  • Cool air spreading into the Pacific Northwest will lower the fire threat across the Northern Rockies to the Northern High Plains
  • A tropical wave in the Atlantic will increase rain showers and winds for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Sunday
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: MA, M E, NE, OK, KS, PA, SD, TX, VT
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: CA, IL, KY, NM, NV, OH, WV
  • Red Flag Warning: CA, OR
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  • Dangerous heat will impact portions of the Northwest, Northeast, and the Lower Mississippi River Valley
  • Organized areas of showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding and debris flows from the Four Corners region into the Southwest
  • A stalled cold front will lead to unsettled conditions from the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys to the Northeast
    • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: CT, DE, ID, IL, LA, MA, ME, MO, MS, MT, NE, NJ, NY, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ, CO
  • Red Flag Warning: ID, OR
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  • Dangerous heat will continue to impact portions of the interior Northwest and Northeast U.S.
  • Showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding from the Four Corners Region into the Great Basin this week
  • Thunderstorms may produce excessive rainfall from the Ohio Valley to the Central Appalachians
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: MT, WY
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ
  • Red Flag Warning: CA, ID, OR, MT
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  • Heavy rain and flash flooding threat continues from the Ohio Valley into the Mid Atlantic and along the Gulf Coast.
  • Storms and the potential for flooding in portions of the Southwest into the Great Basin and Rockies.
  • Above normal temperatures are expected from the Northern Intermountain West into the Northern and Central Plains.
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: CA, MT, SD
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AK, AR, AZ, DC, IL, KY, MO, NV, PA, SD, TN
  • Red Flag Warning: OR, HI, MT, WA
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  • Heavy rains and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding from Southwest into the Four Corners and Central Rockies through midweek
  • Summer heat with above normal temperatures is likely for the Central Plains into Tuesday
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, LA, OK
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AZ, NV, TN
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  • Dangerous heat expected across portions of California, especially the Central Valley, and across theInterior Northwest
  • Heat Advisoriesacross the SouthernPlains into the Lower Mississippi River Valley
  • Showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding in the FourCorners Region and Southwest
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: AR, CA, LA,MS,OK,OR, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AR, IL, KS, KY, MO, NM, SD, TX
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  • Record high temperatures are expected in the West
  • Dangerous heat expected from Washington through California and South into Texas
  • Showers and thunderstorms likely to cause flash flooding over the Southwestern U.S.
  • Red Flag Warning: CA, NV, OR, WA
  • Heat Warning/Advisory: CA, ID, MT, OR, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AR, AZ, HI, IL, KY, NM, NY, SD, TX
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  • Excessive heat will continue over central Washington with afternoon temperatures into the triple digits
  • Heavy rain in the Southwest will generate localized flooding; impacting stream beds, slot canyons, and urban areas. Potential for rapid rising rivers.
  • Flood watches are widespread across Arizona and New Mexico
  • Red Flag Warning: CA, NV, OR, WA
  • Heat Warning/Advisory: CA, ID, MT, OR, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AR, AZ, KY, MN, NM, SD, TX, VA
🌦️ 1
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  • Significant heavy rainfall may lead to flash flood impacts in the Southwest
  • Hot weather persists for the Pacific Northwest
  • Showers and thunderstorms continue in the Southeast to Southern Plains and from the Northern Plains into the Midwest
  • Heat Warning/Advisory: CA, MT, OR, WA
  • Flash Flood Watch/Warning: AK, AL, AR, AZ, KY, MN, NM, SD, TX, VA
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  • Heavy rain impacting Northern Texas is forecast to shift toward the LowerMississippi Valley
  • Scattered thunderstorms with heavy downpours are expected to move through a large portion of the East Coast
  • Heat in the Northwest will spread east into the Northern and Central Plains as heavy rain across the South keeps daytime temperatures cool
  • Red Flag Warning: ID, OR, WA
  • Flash Flood Warning/Advisory: AR, AZ, DC, MD, NC, NM, NV, OK, PA, SD, TX, VA
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  • Widespread heavy rain and flooding across the Southern U.S. will continue today, possibly Wednesday as it advances into the Lower Mississippi Valley
  • Moderate risk of excessive rain and flooding throughout the day from Northern Louisiana to West-Central Mississippi
    • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: CA
  • Flash Flood Warning/Advisory: AK, AR, AZ, LA, MS, NM, OK, SD, TX
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Todays weather screenshot has been declared "explicit content" by the discord gods, sorry for no image.
  • A stationary front and tropical moisture will deliver another day of heavy rain and thunderstorms across the Southern U.S.
  • Flooding will remain possible in the Lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf Coast states
  • Heat will build across the Pacific Northwest with heat advisories in effect for parts of Washington
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: WA
  • Flash Flood Warning/Advisory: AK, AL, AR, AZ, ID, LA, MS, MT, NM, NV, SD, TX, WA
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  • Heavy rainfall and thunderstorm activity may produce flooding across large portions of the U.S.
  • Excessive heat will persist across portions of the Northwest
    • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: WA
  • Flash Flood Warning/Advisory: AL, AZ, CA, FL, ID, LA, MS, MT, NM, NV, SD, TX, WA
8:21 AM
Unusual Flash Drought Conditions Threaten New England Water Infrastructure
  • Parts of New England are 2 to 6 inches below normal rainfall
  • Low rainfall, shrinking rivers and depleting reservoirs negatively impacting crop cycles
  • Mandatory water restrictions implemented to counter effects of drought
8:21 AM
Heat Relief and Rainy Season Likely Delayed This Fall
  • The NOAA released Meteorologic Fall 2022 predictions for 1 Sep – 30 Nov
  • Precipitation will be below-average in the Ohio and mid-Mississippi Valleys
  • Above-average temperatures are likely to persist for most of the continental U.S. this Fall
8:23 AM
Farmers' Almanac calls the North Central region a 'hibernation zone' this winter in US forecast (USA Today) National: The Farmers' Almanac came out with its winter weather predictions across the U.S., and it's going to be – you guessed it – frigid. Specifically, the almanac, an annual American periodical in publication since 1818, is calling the North Central region a "hibernation zone, glacial, snow-filled." Yikes. "The big takeaway for our winter season forecast," the periodical wrote, "is that frigid temperatures should flow into many areas nationwide – especially in the North Central region, where readers will certainly be shaking and shivering!" The North Central region encompasses Iowa, Colorado, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming. There will be a fair share of storms in the region, which means plenty of snow for winter enthusiasts – "maybe even in time for a white Christmas," the almanac editors wrote. Source: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2022/08/23/weather-forecast-farmers-almanac-2022-2023/7872520001
The Farmers' Almanac came out with its 2022-2023 winter weather predictions across the U.S., and it's going to be – you guessed it – frigid.
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There’s a disturbance near the Caribbean, another by Africa. What the forecast shows (Miami Herald) Atlantic: A disturbance that is nearing the Caribbean Sea Wednesday could see some development in the next few days. Forecasters are also eyeing a tropical wave expected to move off the coast of Africa soon. The National Hurricane Center said both systems have a 0% chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low 20% chance of formation through the next five days. The disturbance near the Caribbean Sea was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands, as of the hurricane center’s advisory at 8 p.m. Wednesday. Conditions could “become more conducive for slow development” after the system crosses the Windward Islands and moves across the Caribbean Sea later this week and into early next week, the hurricane center said. The other disturbance might see some “slow development” later this week or over the weekend as it moves off the west coast of Africa and into the Atlantic. It is continuing to move west at 10 to 15 mph. A third disturbance that forecasters were monitoring dissipated Tuesday night. NOAA’s revised prediction says there could be 11 to 17 named storms before the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season ends on Nov. 30. The next storm name on the list is Danielle. Wednesday marks the 30th anniversary of Hurricane Andrew in South Florida. The Category 5 storm devastated South Miami-Dade, led to stricter building codes and changed the lives of many in South Florida. Source: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather-news/article264828604.html
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  • A weather system in the Northeast may trigger scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall
  • Heavy rain and possible flooding near the Gulf Coast states
  • Showers and storms may result in flooding across the Southwest and Four Corners region
    • Red Flag Warning: OR
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Advisory: WA
  • Flood Warning/Advisory: AL, AK, AZ, CA, LA, MS, MT, NM, SD, TX, WY
8:07 AM
This is the Least Active Start to an Atlantic Hurricane Season in 30 Years (Spectrum News 9) Atlantic: Since 1966, there have only been five other hurricane seasons with as little activity as this season has to this point. Since the modern satellite era began, 1967, 1977, 1984, 1988 and 1992 have been the slowest starts to the Atlantic Hurricane Season. 2022 is now in that group as activity has been very limited so far. The best way to compare tropical seasons is to look at what we call Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). Comparing seasons based on the number of storms isn’t reliable because there can be years with numerous weak storms that have very little impact, and then there can be years that only have a handful of storms, but if they’re large storms, they can have a much larger impact. It will be interesting to see if this can be one of those seasons that overachieves after a slow start. Keep in mind that because of our advanced satellite technology, we’re able to see a lot more storms than we did just 20 years ago, so it’s easier to add to the ACE numbers even in slower seasons.Source: https://www.baynews9.com/fl/tampa/weather/2022/08/24/this-is-the-least-active-start-to-an-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-30-years
It's the slowest start to a hurricane season in 30 years
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  • Slight risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the Midwest
  • Moderate to heavy rainfall expected from the Ohio Valley and Northeast back into the Southern Plains, and across parts of Texas
  • Increased heat levels across parts of the Western US
  • Atlantic Disturbance 1: Tropical depression moving West Northwest of the Leeward Islands, 70% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 5 days
    • Excessive Heat Watch/ Heat Advisory: AZ, CA, NV, NY, PR
  • Flood Warning/Watch: AL, FL, LA, MS, NM, OK, SD, TX
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I just wanted to thank you for your routine weather broadcasts, I actually look here frequently but never thought to thank you for it.
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No worries homie! I gotchu
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  • Severe thunderstorms across parts of the Midwest
  • Excessive rainfall for parts of the Southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley
  • Record heat likely to build into parts of the West
  • Atlantic Disturbance 1: Tropical depression moving West Northwest of the Leeward Islands, 80% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 5 days
    • Excessive Heat Watch/ Heat Advisory: AZ, CA, ID, NV, NY, OR, WA
  • Flood Warning/Watch: AK, AL, FL, IN, KY, LA, MS, MO, NM, SC, SD, TN, TX
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NHC Monitoring Disorganized, Low-Pressure System In Atlantic Ocean; 80% Chance of Formation Over Next 5 Days (NHC) Atlantic Ocean: A tropical system with a broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers over the central tropical Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Monday. Invest 91L has a medium 50% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and a high 80% chance of formation through the next five days. “Although environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, some gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week,” the NHC said in a Monday morning tropical weather outlook. According to the NHC, the disturbance is expected to keep moving slowly to the west before heading to the west-northwest. Source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php/
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  • Slight risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern Plains
  • Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Central Appalachians
  • Excessive heat warning and heat advisories over the West Coast
  • Atlantic Disturbance 1: Tropical depression producing showers and thunderstorm moving West-Northwest of the Leeward Islands, 80% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 5 days
    • Excessive Heat Watch/ Heat Advisory: AZ, CA, ID, MT, NV, OR, WA
  • Flood Warning/Watch: AL, FL, LA, MS, SD
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Every day, I think about taking a rain jacket, and every day, I don't. Considering how that's been going for me, I'm gonna take one today. (edited)
Elrisitas_rebotar 3
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  • Dangerously hot conditions will expand and persist across much of California and parts of the Intermountain West and Southwest
  • Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding across portions of Texas, especially in the Southwest
    • Excessive Heat Watch/ Heat Advisory: AZ, CA, ID, NV, UT, WA
  • Flood Warning/Watch: AL, FL, LA, MS, SD, TX
7:54 AM
Forecast Calls For 13 More Named Storms
  • August featured no named storms for the first time since 1997; third time since 1960
  • Wind shears and the Saharan dust plumes have prevented tropical storm formations this August
  • Weakening Bermuda highs expected to extend into the southeastern U.S. and create favorable conditions for storm development
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  • A dangerous heat wave will continue to impact much of the Western U.S.
  • Heat-related warnings and advisories extend across most of California and Nevada into the interior Northwest
  • Critical fire weather, including low relative humidity and gusty winds, is forecast from Northern California into Montana
    • Flood Warning/Watch: AL, LA, MS, MO, OK, SD, TX
  • Excessive Heat Watch/ Heat Advisory: AZ, CA, ID, MT, NV, OR, UT, WA
  • Tropical Storm Warning: FL
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  • Record high temperatures expected for portions of the West
  • Elevated fire weather conditions around the California, Oregon, and Nevada junction today, then in the interior Pacific Northwest on Wednesday
  • Heavy rain and localized flash flooding possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Mid Atlantic and New England
  • Tropical Storm EARL is expected to continue northward movement on Tuesday, then turn toward the North Northeast Wednesday night. Hurricane KAY continues movement in the Pacific without representing any threat to the U.S. mainland
    • Flood/Flash Flood Warning: DC, FL, MA, MD, ME, VA, NJ, NY, PA , AL, MS , SC
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory: MT, AZ, CA, ID, NV, OR, UT
  • Tropical Storm Warning: FL
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  • Dangerous heat continues throughout the West Coast. Critical fire weather forecast over parts of the Northern High Plains. Heavy rain and gusty winds associated with Hurricane Kay will begin entering Southern California and Southwest late in the week
  • Elevated fire weather conditions throughout theCalifornia, Oregon, and Nevada junction today, then in the interior Pacific Northwest on Wednesday
  • Heavy rain and flash flooding possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and New England
  • Hurricane EARLis expected to continue moving north-northeast Wednesday. Hurricanes EARL, DANIELLE, and KAYare not expected to make landfall in any State or Territory
    • Flood/Flash Flood Warning: SD, SC, TX, FL, MS
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory: CO, AZ, CA, ID, MT, NV, OR, UT
  • Red Flag Warning: ID, MT, OR, WA, WY
  • Hurricane Warning: FL
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  • Heavy rain and flooding potential in the Southeast
  • Elevated fire weather conditions continue in parts of the West and into the Plains
  • Hurricane EARL expected to continue moving north-northeast and eventually dissipate into the Atlantic. The system will produce dangerous surf and rip currents on the East Coast starting today
  • Hurricane KAY will continue its movement north-northwest and dissipate in the Pacific. Heavy rain and flooding threat are possible later this week and into the weekend across the Southwest
    • Flood/Flash Flood Warning: AZ, CA
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory: AZ, CA, NV, UT
  • Red Flag Warning: KS, NE, SD, CO, CA, ID, MT, OR, WA, WY
11:37 AM
La Niña, a rare three-year phenomena, predicted to linger into winter
  • The three year La Niña started in 2020; third time since 1950
  • La Niña affects weather patterns globally with U.S. impacts to the western and southern U.S.
  • Exacerbates Atlantic hurricanes, western wildfires, and agricultural losses in the central U.S.
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  • Tropical Storm Kay may produce heavy rain and potential flash flooding in the Southwest
  • Critical fire weather is expected in the Pacific Northwest
  • Heavy rain may produce localized flooding in the Southeast
  • Hurricane Earl will produce dangerous surf and rip currents on the East Coast
    • Flood/Flash Flood Warning: AK, AZ, CA, DE, FL,NJ, PA, VA
  • Excessive Heat Warning/Heat Advisory: CA, OR,WA
  • Red Flag Warning: CA
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  • Locally heavy rain may result in flooding in the Southwestand severe storms in Arizona
  • Elevated fire weather threats are expected in the Northern Plains
  • Heavy rain and possible flooding in the Great Lakes
  • Heavy rain and severe storms may produce flooding and damaging winds in the Mid-Atlantic
    • Flood/Flash Flood Warning/Watch: AZ, FL, IL, NV, SD, TX, WI
  • Wind Advisory: AK
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'Triple-dip' La Niña is on the way. Here's what it means for weather in the US. (USA Today) National: Meteorologists say that for the third straight year, La Niña will persist throughout the winter in the Northern Hemisphere. This is the first "triple-dip" La Niña of the century, according to a recent update from the United Nations' World Meteorological Organization. This La Niña began in September 2020. The La Niña climate pattern is a natural cycle marked by cooler-than-average ocean water in the central Pacific Ocean. It is one of the main drivers of weather in the United States and around the world, especially during late fall, winter, and early spring. It's the opposite to the more well-known El Niño, which occurs when Pacific ocean water is warmer than average. A typical La Niña winter in the U.S. brings cold and snow to the Northwest and unusually dry conditions to most of the southern tier of the U.S., according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. The Southeast and Mid-Atlantic also tend to see warmer-than-average temperatures during a La Niña winter. Meanwhile, New England and the Upper Midwest into New York tend to see colder-than-average temperatures. Source: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2022/09/09/triple-dip-la-nina-us-weather/8033712001
Meteorologists say that for the third straight year, La Niña will persist throughout the winter in the Northern Hemisphere.
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Michigan American Red Cross Readies to Help Puerto Rico as Hurricane Fiona Causes Flooding, Knocks Out Power (FOX 2) San Juan, Puerto Rico: Chapters of the American Red Cross around the United States, including here in Michigan, are preparing to help Puerto Rico as Hurricane Fiona ravages the island. The storm has caused catastrophic flooding and knocked out power across the territory. "Currently we have volunteers and employees on the ground in Puerto Rico, as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands who were positioned prior to the storm," said David Olejarz, the regional communications director of the American Red Cross Michigan Region. "The Michigan region, like all other regions, is always in a state of preparedness for these types of emergencies, disasters, and we stand ready to assist if needed." The devastation comes five years after the island was hit hard by Hurricane Maria. Source: https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/michigan-american-red-cross-readies-to-help-puerto-rico-as-hurricane-fiona-causes-flooding-knocks-out-power
The American Red Cross in Michigan is prepared to help Puerto Rico as Hurricane Fiona continues to ravage the island.
6:35 AM
Rain Helps Increase Containment of Huge California Wildfire (AP) San Francisco, California: A major storm that battered western Alaska over the weekend churned through Northern California on Monday after bringing early-season snow to mountains and dropping rain that helped firefighters increase their containment of a huge wildfire. No growth was reported on the 119-square-mile (308-square-kilometer) Mosquito Fire in the Sierra Nevada foothills northeast of Sacramento. The blaze was 38% contained Monday after downpours allowed sheriff's officials in two counties to lift or downgrade some evacuation orders. It's the state's largest wildfire of the year so far. More rain was expected, which fire spokesman Scott McLean called a mixed blessing for firefighters. Lingering showers over the Mosquito Fire will increase the risk of ash and mud flows, the National Weather Service said. To the northwest, localized flooding and mudslides were reported in parts of the Coast Range scarred from a massive wildfire two years ago. Source: https://www.michigansthumb.com/news/article/Rain-helps-increase-containment-of-huge-17451515.php
SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — A major storm that battered western Alaska over the weekend...
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TheAnonymousDew 9/23/2022 1:16 AM
I've been telling my dad to fill up water jugs in case the the future Hermine/Ian hits us in Southeast Florida, which is still entirely possible, but he doesn't want to hear it. Old Floridians really are as fucking stubborn as mules.
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Stay safe down there in case it does hit you guys
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  • Rainfall continues across parts of the Southwest with flooding potential
  • A strong cold front is moving across most of the Eastern states
  • Gale Warnings, Rip Current Statements, High Wind Watches, and High Surf Advisories are in effect for portions of the East Coast
  • High winds to impact Eastern Maine late Friday into Saturday
    • Flood Warning: FL, SD, TX, AZ, PR
  • Hurricane Warning: Offshore U.S. East Coast
7:37 AM
Hurricane FIONA FIONA is expected to affect portions of Atlantic Canada as a powerful hurricane-force cyclone late Friday and Saturday. Significant impacts from high winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall are likely. Large swells generated by FIONA are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along much of the east coast of the United States, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days.
7:37 AM
Tropical Depression Nine Heavy rainfall and instances of flash flooding and possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain in Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao. Heavy rains are also likely to spread into Jamaica and the Cayman Islands in the coming days. The depression is expected to intensify into a tropical storm. This system is forecast to approach Western Cuba and enter the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico, though at this juncture forecast uncertainty remains high.
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000 FONT14 KNHC 272058 PWSAT4 HURRICANE IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
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Mr.Pebbles
000 FONT14 KNHC 272058 PWSAT4 HURRICANE IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
ik yur in florida, are you evacuating
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Ian's confirmed to be Cat 4.
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curcale
ik yur in florida, are you evacuating
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I have important news: It is currently cold outside. That is all.
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AIF Cuirassier regiment 11/14/2022 10:56 AM
yesterday rained from very very early in the morning to 3PM
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Very good to know
11:33 AM
Thank you
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the North east should get a good amount of show this winter
11:37 AM
just what i've heard
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Flooding is already expected to be dangerous enough with this incoming bomb cyclone and pineapple express, but with at least 4 more additional atmospheric rivers possible over the next 10 days, I'm getting very concerned about extreme flooding potential, especially in NorCal.
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Too bad no one decided infrastructure to handle water catchment on this scale was a priority and most of it will wash out to sea instead of filling reservoirs.
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To be fair, even factoring Climate change, this storm is a freak occurrence
6:33 PM
And we do have basins btw
6:33 PM
Including rainfall refilling too
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Aces high
And we do have basins btw
Yeah from the 1960s through 80s. When no one acknowledged climate change could be dramatic.
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They've been undergoing updates since 2020. Hell, OC Basin just had one in October of 2022.
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pineapple express? PINEAPPLE EXPRESS? that's a REAL THING?
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YUP
8:59 PM
Pineapple Express is a non-technical term for a meteorological phenomenon, a specific recurring atmospheric river characterized by a strong and persistent large-scale flow of warm moist air, and the associated heavy precipitation both in the waters immediately northeast of the Hawaiian Islands and extending northeast to any location along the Pa...
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Aces high
To be fair, even factoring Climate change, this storm is a freak occurrence
floppunism [BOI, ID] 1/4/2023 10:19 PM
We’ve had 3 freak occurrences in the past month between Europe and America
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Texas freezing is not freak anymore, sadly
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PDS Tornado Warning including Millington TN, Atoka TN, and Munford TN until 6:00 PM CDT #TNwx This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
6:35 PM
OY Tornado warning in TN!
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AIF Cuirassier regiment 3/31/2023 9:05 PM
always been fascinated by tornados....
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AvoidOblivion 5/9/2023 6:56 AM
A recent Duke University analysis finds that state emergency management departments are underestimating the growing threat of excessive heat as the climate changes.
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AIF Cuirassier regiment 6/18/2023 12:08 PM
12:08 PM
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Oooh getting chilly
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str8 up demon 8/25/2023 1:01 AM
ffs
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